Generally, in June there is a supply and demand imbalance in China as the seasonal demand drops during the Chinese hot season, and the global slug of volume that has been delivered over the Chinese New Year holiday pushes inventory levels higher than what the customers’ financiers are comfortable with. In this scenario, it’s reasonably easy to see the price drop coming (by monitoring in-market inventory increase) and relatively predictable as to when it will revert (again, based on inventory reduction). True to form however, 2022 is different. The sharp price drop this time ...
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